Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.035866e-05 2.470722e-05 0.000029 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056
2025-06-29 1.384416e-05 1.903399e-05 0.000025 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066
2025-07-06 9.559365e-06 1.483521e-05 0.000022 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000074
2025-07-13 7.146424e-06 1.241797e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000083
2025-07-20 5.471289e-06 1.062364e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000045 0.000065 0.000092
2025-07-27 4.446706e-06 9.562444e-06 0.000018 0.000030 0.000047 0.000070 0.000102
2025-08-03 4.102177e-06 9.518933e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000053 0.000080 0.000118
2025-08-10 3.283060e-06 8.468916e-06 0.000017 0.000032 0.000054 0.000085 0.000127
2025-08-17 2.288546e-06 6.825819e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000053 0.000084 0.000131
2025-08-24 1.619841e-06 5.623993e-06 0.000014 0.000028 0.000052 0.000085 0.000135
2025-08-31 1.254028e-06 4.976500e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000089 0.000143
2025-09-07 9.400070e-07 4.337544e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000053 0.000092 0.000150
2025-09-14 5.622553e-07 3.409436e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000095 0.000158
2025-09-21 2.918720e-07 2.552662e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000096 0.000165
2025-09-28 1.277621e-07 1.837047e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000051 0.000097 0.000171
2025-10-05 5.991174e-08 1.445847e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000052 0.000101 0.000181
2025-10-12 2.532125e-08 1.152769e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000053 0.000105 0.000192
2025-10-19 1.144396e-08 9.909562e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000055 0.000112 0.000207
2025-10-26 8.875713e-09 1.016499e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000061 0.000124 0.000231
2025-11-02 2.471585e-09 8.348911e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000062 0.000130 0.000244
2025-11-09 3.821362e-11 5.563626e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000060 0.000129 0.000248
2025-11-16 NaN 3.772994e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000059 0.000130 0.000253
2025-11-23 NaN 2.919027e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000060 0.000134 0.000265